Who will win the California gubernatorial election in 2026? — Xavier Becerra

Yes97%
No4%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 4, 2026next month

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 08:20 AMOct 2, 11:22 AMOct 2, 02:24 PMOct 2, 05:27 PM

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. PredictFun and Polymarket use AP, Fox News, and NBC calls, followed by official certification if needed; Gemini cites the California Secretary of State. The listed settlement times also differ, but these are resolution-method and timing differences rather than different questions.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

    This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

    1.1K holders · 88 comments · read Sep 30, 10:20 AM UTC

  • PredictFunOpen →

    Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

    This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

    read Oct 2, 04:16 PM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Who will win the California gubernatorial election in 2026? — Xavier Becerra

    If Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from the California Secretary of State. Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

    read Oct 2, 05:17 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 2, 05:32 PM UTC