GeminiOpen

Fed decision in October? — Fed maintains rate

Yes92%
No8%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 30, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Federal Reserve maintains rates at their current level on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from the Federal Reserve. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. If a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. View the full [rules](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa739111ce4d14031b8fa642d703f6417?alt=media&token=018dc0da-fca8-43f8-a4c4-6d0dde135f95&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba)

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Fed decision in October? — Hike 25bpsGemini93% NoOpen
Fed decision in October? — Cut >25bpsGemini99% NoOpen
Fed decision in October? — Cut 25bpsGemini97% NoOpen
Fed decision in October? — Hike >25bpsGemini99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 09:56 PM UTC