Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Save the Children

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesOct 9, 202615 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 4Oct 6Oct 7Oct 9

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to YES if Save the Children wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Save the Children if Save the Children is one of the named laureates. If Save the Children is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues use different displayed settlement times and resolution rules/sources: Polymarket has detailed tie-breaking and a delayed fallback, Gemini has a December 31 fallback, Pascal delegates to Polymarket, and Kalshi provides minimal criteria. These are settlement-mechanics differences, not a different underlying question.
  • Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

    This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

    130 holders · 213 comments · read Oct 2, 10:36 AM UTC

  • Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Save the Children

    If Save the Children wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

    read Oct 9, 02:27 PM UTC

  • Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026: Save the Children

    The venue publishes no resolution criteria for this market.

    read Oct 9, 12:18 PM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Save the Children

    This market will resolve to YES if Save the Children wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Save the Children if Save the Children is one of the named laureates. If Save the Children is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).

    read Oct 9, 07:52 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)Gemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)Gemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — International Court of Justice (ICJ)Gemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Mykola Kuleba / Save UkraineGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Dario AmodeiGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — City of Minneapolis and its peopleGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Donald TrumpGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Francesca AlbaneseGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Centre for Humanitarian DialogueGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Narges MohammadiGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Yulia NavalnayaGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Committee to Protect JournalistsGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — International Criminal CourtGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — UNRWAGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — European UnionGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Sam AltmanGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Elon MuskGemini100% NoOpen
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Volodymyr ZelenskyyGemini100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 09:36 PM UTC