Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesOct 9, 202615 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 4Oct 6Oct 7Oct 9

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to YES if Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) if Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) is one of the named laureates. If Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini explicitly covers a joint award and specifies the official Nobel announcement and fallback rules; Kalshi's published criteria are less detailed. The one-day difference in listed resolution times is immaterial to the event being measured.
  • Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize? Doctors Without Borders

    If Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.

    read Oct 9, 02:06 AM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026? — Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)

    This market will resolve to YES if Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) if Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) is one of the named laureates. If Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO. The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026. If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded. View the [full rules](https://cdn.builder.io/api/v1/file/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F6ab851ab38184aa39ef96a501a3da772).

    read Oct 9, 04:37 AM UTC

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As of Oct 24, 06:47 PM UTC