BTC price on October 31: $90,000 or above
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $90,000 or above on October 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).
The same question elsewhere
3 venues carry it
this marketBTC price on October 31: $90,000 or above
If the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is $90,000 or above on October 31, 2026 at 5pm ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. If no eligible trade occurs during the contract window, this contract will resolve based on the most recent traded price prior. Outcome verified against the GRR-KAIKO_RFR_BTCUSD_60S index. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/btc_227f8e79-2af6-40f9-9a0c-a8297696e7ab.pdf).
read Oct 30, 08:47 AM UTC
Bitcoin above … on October 31 — 90,000
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price on the specified side of the price specified in the title — for an "above" market, a "Close" higher than that price; for a "below" market, a "Close" lower than that price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
read Oct 31, 05:12 PM UTC
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC price on October 31: $77,500 or above | Gemini | 100% No | Open |
| BTC price on October 31: $80,000 or above | Gemini | 100% No | Open |
| BTC price on October 31: $85,000 or above | Gemini | 100% No | Open |
| BTC price on October 31: $82,500 or above | Gemini | 100% No | Open |
| BTC price on October 31: $75,000 or above | Gemini | 100% Yes | Open |
| BTC price on October 31: $72,500 or above | Gemini | 100% Yes | Open |
| BTC price on October 31: $92,500 or above | Gemini | 100% No | Open |
| BTC price on October 31: $87,500 or above | Gemini | 100% No | Open |
| BTC price on October 31: $70,000 or above | Gemini | 100% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Nov 1, 06:41 PM UTC