Which companies will the US take a stake in before 2027? — Anduril
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of Anduril before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Sources from the United States federal government, the official announcements or filings by the entity, NBC, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, The Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, CNBC, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, ABC, and CBS. Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa6ac2410e7c046b2a8c531cd085613a8?alt=media&token=76600c01-717d-46f4-a86f-d7c7cd42405e&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
The same question elsewhere
2 venues carry it
this marketWhich companies will the US take a stake in before 2027? — Anduril
If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of Anduril before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Sources from the United States federal government, the official announcements or filings by the entity, NBC, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, The Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, CNBC, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, ABC, and CBS. Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fa6ac2410e7c046b2a8c531cd085613a8?alt=media&token=76600c01-717d-46f4-a86f-d7c7cd42405e&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
read Oct 23, 08:10 PM UTC
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?
If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of Anduril before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.
read Oct 24, 02:57 PM UTC
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 25, 06:08 PM UTC