KalshiOpen

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anduril?

No75%
Anduril25%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$295
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread4%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 7Sep 13Sep 18Sep 24Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of Anduril before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in any legal vehicle that owns, directly or indirectly, OpenAI’s for-profit operating entity?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Boeing?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Spirit Airlines?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Palantir?Kalshi89% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Eli Lilly?Kalshi83% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Pfizer?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in TSMC?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Lockheed Martin?Kalshi87% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Nvidia?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Unusual Machines?Kalshi56% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in any legal vehicle that owns, directly or indirectly, TikTok US or ByteDance?Kalshi90% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Performance Drone Works?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Micron?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Anthropic?Kalshi91% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Neros Technologies?Kalshi82% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in IonQ?Kalshi86% NoOpen
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?: Will any part of the United States federal government take a stake of above 0% in Freeport-McMoRan?Kalshi90% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC