PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander Jong

Sander Jong58%
Lorenzo Carboni42%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$3.9K
Spread5%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 07:50 PMOct 1, 10:13 PMOct 2, 12:36 AMOct 2, 03:00 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Carboni and Sander Jong in the M25 Zaragoza, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Lorenzo Carboni” if Lorenzo Carboni wins the first set. It will resolve to “Sander Jong” if Sander Jong wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M25 Zaragoza, Main Draw: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander JongPolymarket53% YesOpen
M25 Zaragoza: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander JongPolymarket62% Sander JongOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lorenzo Carboni vs. Sander Jong: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Lorenzo Carboni (-1.5) vs Sander Jong (+1.5)Polymarket76% Sander JongOpen
Set Handicap: Sander Jong (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Carboni (+1.5)Polymarket56% Lorenzo CarboniOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket65% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander JongPolymarket50% Lorenzo CarboniOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen

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As of Oct 2, 03:13 AM UTC