PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Lorenzo Carboni (-1.5) vs Sander Jong (+1.5)

Sander Jong76%
Lorenzo Carboni24%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.1K
Spread6%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 07:50 PMOct 1, 10:54 PMOct 2, 01:58 AMOct 2, 05:02 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Carboni and Sander Jong in the M25 Zaragoza, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lorenzo Carboni" if Lorenzo Carboni wins by 2 or more sets than Sander Jong, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sander Jong." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Lorenzo Carboni can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sander Jong." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M25 Zaragoza, Main Draw: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander JongPolymarket55% YesOpen
M25 Zaragoza: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander JongPolymarket62% Sander JongOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lorenzo Carboni vs. Sander Jong: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Sander Jong (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Carboni (+1.5)Polymarket56% Lorenzo CarboniOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket65% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander JongPolymarket50% Lorenzo CarboniOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander JongPolymarket58% Sander JongOpen

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As of Oct 2, 05:39 AM UTC