PolymarketOpen

Carboni vs. Jong: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Under65%
Over35%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$46.8
Spread69%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 07:50 PMOct 1, 10:20 PMOct 2, 12:51 AMOct 2, 03:21 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Carboni and Sander Jong in the M25 Zaragoza, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M25 Zaragoza, Main Draw: Completed Match: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander JongPolymarket53% YesOpen
M25 Zaragoza: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander JongPolymarket62% Sander JongOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Lorenzo Carboni vs. Sander Jong: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Lorenzo Carboni (-1.5) vs Sander Jong (+1.5)Polymarket76% Sander JongOpen
Set Handicap: Sander Jong (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Carboni (+1.5)Polymarket56% Lorenzo CarboniOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander JongPolymarket50% Lorenzo CarboniOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Carboni vs. Jong: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Lorenzo Carboni vs Sander JongPolymarket58% Sander JongOpen

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As of Oct 2, 04:03 AM UTC