PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Arthur Gea (+1.5)

Arthur Gea64%
Hubert Hurkacz36%

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24h volume$6.5
7d volume$6.5
30d volume$6.5
Liquidity$32.5K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 04:50 PMOct 1, 10:22 PMOct 2, 03:53 AMOct 2, 09:25 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Arthur Gea in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Hubert Hurkacz" if Hubert Hurkacz wins by 2 or more sets than Arthur Gea, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arthur Gea." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Hubert Hurkacz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Arthur Gea." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket66% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket56% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket54% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket75% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket55% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Game Spread: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Arthur Gea (+1.5)Polymarket52% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Hubert Hurkacz vs. Arthur Gea: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket58% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket64% UnderOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket55% UnderOpen
China Open: Completed Match: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket54% YesOpen

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As of Oct 2, 10:34 AM UTC