PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Arthur Gea (+1.5)

Arthur Gea50%
Hubert Hurkacz50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$20.6K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 04:50 PMOct 1, 11:47 PMOct 2, 06:43 AMOct 2, 01:40 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Hubert Hurkacz" if Hubert Hurkacz wins 1.5 or more total games than Arthur Gea in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arthur Gea". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Hubert Hurkacz could no longer have finished 1.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Arthur Gea". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket52% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket85% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket100% Arthur GeaOpen
Hubert Hurkacz vs. Arthur Gea: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket100% Over 2.5Open
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket80% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
China Open: Completed Match: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket50% NoOpen
Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Arthur Gea (+1.5)Polymarket100% Arthur GeaOpen

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As of Oct 2, 02:05 PM UTC