PolymarketOpen

Hubert Hurkacz vs. Arthur Gea: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Under 2.556%
Over 2.544%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$31.1K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 04:50 PMOct 1, 11:13 PMOct 2, 05:36 AMOct 2, 12:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Arthur Gea in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. If the match is played to completion, this market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets played equals or exceeds 3, and to "Under" otherwise. A set counts as played once it has begun, even if it is not played to completion. A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If a player retires, withdraws, is defaulted, or is disqualified, or the match otherwise begins but is not completed, this market will resolve based on any outcome that was already unequivocally determined at the time play stopped. An outcome is considered unequivocally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, for a line of 2.5, if play stops with the players at one set each, completing the match would have required at least one additional set, resulting in at least 3 sets played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. If neither outcome was already determined at the time play stopped, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or has not been completed by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless an outcome was already unequivocally determined as described above. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket52% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket77% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket53% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Game Spread: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Arthur Gea (+1.5)Polymarket50% Arthur GeaOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket52% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Gea: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
China Open: Completed Match: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur GeaPolymarket50% NoOpen
Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Arthur Gea (+1.5)Polymarket73% Arthur GeaOpen

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As of Oct 2, 12:19 PM UTC