PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek90%

Xinyu Gao11%

Price checked at Oct 1, 10:39 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$1.1K

Spread7%

ResolvesOct 10, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Gao and Iga Swiatek in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Xinyu Gao” if Xinyu Gao wins the first set. It will resolve to “Iga Swiatek” if Iga Swiatek wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.wtatennis.com/scores

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
China Open: Completed Match: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek	Polymarket	53% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Set Handicap: Iga Swiatek (-1.5) vs Xinyu Gao (+1.5)	Polymarket	90% Iga Swiatek	—	—	—	Open
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Gao vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5	Polymarket	51% Over	—	—	—	Open
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5	Polymarket	50% Under	—	—	—	Open
Set 2 Winner: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek	Polymarket	90% Iga Swiatek	—	—	—	Open
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Xinyu Gao vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Polymarket	89% Under 2.5	—	—	—	Open
Game Spread: Iga Swiatek (-7.5) vs Xinyu Gao (+7.5)	Polymarket	56% Iga Swiatek	—	—	—	Open
Gao vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 22.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Gao vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 23.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek	Polymarket	95% Iga Swiatek	$47	—	—	Open

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As of Oct 1, 11:06 PM UTC