PolymarketOpen

China Open: Completed Match: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek

Yes54%
No46%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$12.5
Spread89%
ResolvesOct 10, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 03:20 PMOct 1, 07:58 PMOct 2, 12:36 AMOct 2, 05:14 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Gao and Iga Swiatek in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Sourcehttps://www.wtatennis.com/scores

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set Handicap: Iga Swiatek (-1.5) vs Xinyu Gao (+1.5)Polymarket89% Iga SwiatekOpen
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Gao vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Xinyu Gao vs Iga SwiatekPolymarket90% Iga SwiatekOpen
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Xinyu Gao vs Iga SwiatekPolymarket72% Iga SwiatekOpen
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Xinyu Gao vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket86% Under 2.5Open
Game Spread: Iga Swiatek (-7.5) vs Xinyu Gao (+7.5)Polymarket55% Iga SwiatekOpen
Gao vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Gao vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga SwiatekPolymarket96% Iga SwiatekOpen

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As of Oct 2, 05:20 AM UTC