Set Handicap: Iga Swiatek (-1.5) vs Xinyu Gao (+1.5)
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Xinyu Gao in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Iga Swiatek" if Iga Swiatek wins by 2 or more sets than Xinyu Gao, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Xinyu Gao." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Iga Swiatek can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Xinyu Gao." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Sourcehttps://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Completed Match: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | Polymarket | 53% Yes | Open |
| Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Gao vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5 | Polymarket | 51% Over | Open |
| Set 1 Winner: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | Polymarket | 90% Iga Swiatek | Open |
| Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 50% Under | Open |
| Set 2 Winner: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | Polymarket | 90% Iga Swiatek | Open |
| Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Xinyu Gao vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Polymarket | 89% Under 2.5 | Open |
| Game Spread: Iga Swiatek (-7.5) vs Xinyu Gao (+7.5) | Polymarket | 56% Iga Swiatek | Open |
| Gao vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 22.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Gao vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 23.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| Gao vs. Swiatek: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 | Polymarket | 51% Under | Open |
| China Open: Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek | Polymarket | 95% Iga Swiatek | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 1, 11:00 PM UTC