PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Kosuke Ogura (-1.5) vs Ryuki Matsuda (+1.5)

Ryuki Matsuda77%
Kosuke Ogura23%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.2K
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 01:50 PMOct 1, 05:05 PMOct 1, 08:20 PMOct 1, 11:36 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kosuke Ogura and Ryuki Matsuda in the M15 Luan, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kosuke Ogura" if Kosuke Ogura wins by 2 or more sets than Ryuki Matsuda, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ryuki Matsuda." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kosuke Ogura can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Ryuki Matsuda." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke OguraPolymarket63% Ryuki MatsudaOpen
Set 2 Winner: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke OguraPolymarket50% Ryuki MatsudaOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Ryuki Matsuda (-1.5) vs Kosuke Ogura (+1.5)Polymarket57% Kosuke OguraOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ryuki Matsuda vs. Kosuke Ogura: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke OguraPolymarket59% Ryuki MatsudaOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
M15 Luan, Main Draw: Completed Match: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke OguraPolymarket53% YesOpen

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As of Oct 1, 11:41 PM UTC