PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura

Ryuki Matsuda59%
Kosuke Ogura41%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$62.3
Spread94%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 01:50 PMOct 1, 03:53 PMOct 1, 05:56 PMOct 1, 08:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Kosuke Ogura in the M15 Luan, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Ryuki Matsuda” if Ryuki Matsuda wins the first set. It will resolve to “Kosuke Ogura” if Kosuke Ogura wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
M15 Luan, Main Draw: Completed Match: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke OguraPolymarket53% YesOpen
M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke OguraPolymarket64% Ryuki MatsudaOpen
Set 2 Winner: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke OguraPolymarket50% Ryuki MatsudaOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Ryuki Matsuda (-1.5) vs Kosuke Ogura (+1.5)Polymarket57% Kosuke OguraOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ryuki Matsuda vs. Kosuke Ogura: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Kosuke Ogura (-1.5) vs Ryuki Matsuda (+1.5)Polymarket78% Ryuki MatsudaOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 08:11 PM UTC