PolymarketOpen

M15 Luan: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke Ogura

Ryuki Matsuda63%
Kosuke Ogura37%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$6.7K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 01:04 PMOct 1, 04:13 PMOct 1, 07:23 PMOct 1, 10:32 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ryuki Matsuda and Kosuke Ogura in the M15 Luan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ryuki Matsuda' if Ryuki Matsuda advances against Kosuke Ogura. This market will resolve to 'Kosuke Ogura' if Kosuke Ogura advances against Ryuki Matsuda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Set 2 Winner: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke OguraPolymarket50% Ryuki MatsudaOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Ryuki Matsuda (-1.5) vs Kosuke Ogura (+1.5)Polymarket58% Kosuke OguraOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ryuki Matsuda vs. Kosuke Ogura: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke OguraPolymarket60% Ryuki MatsudaOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Kosuke Ogura (-1.5) vs Ryuki Matsuda (+1.5)Polymarket78% Ryuki MatsudaOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Matsuda vs. Ogura: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
M15 Luan, Main Draw: Completed Match: Ryuki Matsuda vs Kosuke OguraPolymarket54% YesOpen

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As of Oct 1, 10:42 PM UTC