PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Denis Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)

Alejandro Tabilo64%
Denis Shapovalov37%

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24h volume$3.1
7d volume$3.1
30d volume$3.1
Liquidity$6.8K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 10, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 10:51 AMOct 1, 02:00 PMOct 1, 05:08 PMOct 1, 08:17 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Denis Shapovalov" if Denis Shapovalov wins by 2 or more sets than Alejandro Tabilo, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Alejandro Tabilo." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Denis Shapovalov can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Alejandro Tabilo." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloPolymarket53% YesOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloPolymarket56% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket54% OverOpen
Game Spread: Denis Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)Polymarket53% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket67% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloPolymarket57% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloPolymarket59% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Denis Shapovalov vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket60% Under 2.5Open

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As of Oct 1, 08:46 PM UTC