PolymarketOpen

Set 2 Winner: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo

Denis Shapovalov57%
Alejandro Tabilo43%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.5K
Spread10%
ResolvesOct 10, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 10:51 AMOct 1, 01:54 PMOct 1, 04:57 PMOct 1, 08:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Denis Shapovalov” if Denis Shapovalov wins set 2. It will resolve to “Alejandro Tabilo” if Alejandro Tabilo wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloPolymarket53% YesOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloPolymarket56% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket54% OverOpen
Game Spread: Denis Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)Polymarket53% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket67% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloPolymarket59% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Denis Shapovalov vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket60% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Denis Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)Polymarket64% Alejandro TabiloOpen

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As of Oct 1, 08:05 PM UTC