PolymarketOpen

Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 23.5

Under56%
Over45%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country →
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$3.4
7d volume$3.4
30d volume$3.4
Liquidity$4.7K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 10, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 10:51 AMOct 1, 01:19 PMOct 1, 03:46 PMOct 1, 06:14 PM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloPolymarket53% YesOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloPolymarket56% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket54% OverOpen
Game Spread: Denis Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)Polymarket53% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket67% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloPolymarket57% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro TabiloPolymarket59% Denis ShapovalovOpen
Shapovalov vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Denis Shapovalov vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket60% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Denis Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)Polymarket64% Alejandro TabiloOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 1, 07:12 PM UTC