PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler

Joel Schwaerzler58%
Lucas Poullain42%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$10.1K
Spread2%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 10:51 AMOct 1, 04:58 PMOct 1, 11:05 PMOct 2, 05:13 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Joel Schwaerzler in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Lucas Poullain” if Lucas Poullain wins the first set. It will resolve to “Joel Schwaerzler” if Joel Schwaerzler wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Completed Match: Lucas Poullain vs Joel SchwaerzlerPolymarket53% YesOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket55% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Lucas Poullain vs Joel SchwaerzlerPolymarket50% Joel SchwaerzlerOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Lucas Poullain (-1.5) vs Joel Schwaerzler (+1.5)Polymarket77% Joel SchwaerzlerOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Joel Schwaerzler (-3.5) vs Lucas Poullain (+3.5)Polymarket59% Lucas PoullainOpen
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel SchwaerzlerPolymarket61% Joel SchwaerzlerOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket56% OverOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket80% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Joel Schwaerzler (-1.5) vs Lucas Poullain (+1.5)Polymarket61% Lucas PoullainOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Lucas Poullain vs. Joel Schwaerzler: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 05:30 AM UTC