PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Joel Schwaerzler (-1.5) vs Lucas Poullain (+1.5)

Lucas Poullain50%
Joel Schwaerzler50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$6.4
Spread94%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 10:51 AMOct 1, 12:28 PMOct 1, 02:06 PMOct 1, 03:43 PM

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Schwaerzler and Lucas Poullain in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Joel Schwaerzler" if Joel Schwaerzler wins by 2 or more sets than Lucas Poullain, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lucas Poullain." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Joel Schwaerzler can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Lucas Poullain." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel SchwaerzlerPolymarket61% Joel SchwaerzlerOpen
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Completed Match: Lucas Poullain vs Joel SchwaerzlerPolymarket53% YesOpen
Lucas Poullain vs. Joel Schwaerzler: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Under 2.5Open
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Lucas Poullain vs Joel SchwaerzlerPolymarket67% Lucas PoullainOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Lucas Poullain (-1.5) vs Joel Schwaerzler (+1.5)Polymarket50% Lucas PoullainOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Lucas Poullain vs Joel SchwaerzlerPolymarket67% Lucas PoullainOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Poullain vs. Schwaerzler: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Joel Schwaerzler (-3.5) vs Lucas Poullain (+3.5)Polymarket51% Joel SchwaerzlerOpen

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As of Oct 1, 04:09 PM UTC