PolymarketOpen

Fight to Go the Distance?

Yes50%
No50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$28.5
Spread94%
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 09:06 PMSep 29, 10:18 PMSep 29, 11:30 PMSep 30, 12:42 AMAvailable history starts Sep 29

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jacobe Smith and Bruce Whitehead at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Jacobe Smith win by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Jacobe Smith win in Round 1?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Jacobe Smith win in Round 2?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Bruce Whitehead win by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% YesOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket50% UnderOpen
Will Bruce Whitehead win in Round 2?Polymarket50% YesOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket50% UnderOpen
Will the fight end before Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket71% UnderOpen
Will Bruce Whitehead win in Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Jacobe Smith win in Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Bruce Whitehead win in Round 1?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% NoOpen
UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)Polymarket89% Jacobe SmithOpen

Venue activity

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As of Sep 30, 12:55 AM UTC