PolymarketOpen

Will the fight end before Round 3?

No50%
Yes50%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$14.5
Spread87%
ResolvesOct 4, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 09:06 PMSep 30, 06:32 AMSep 30, 03:58 PMOct 1, 01:24 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Sep 29 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Jacobe Smith and Bruce Whitehead at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 2 and Round 3 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.ufc.com/events

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will Jacobe Smith win by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Jacobe Smith win in Round 1?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight end before Round 2?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will Jacobe Smith win in Round 2?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will Bruce Whitehead win by KO or TKO?Polymarket51% NoOpen
O/U 0.5 RoundsPolymarket58% OverOpen
Will Bruce Whitehead win in Round 2?Polymarket50% YesOpen
O/U 2.5 RoundsPolymarket79% UnderOpen
O/U 1.5 RoundsPolymarket71% UnderOpen
Will Bruce Whitehead win in Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by decision?Polymarket53% NoOpen
Will Bruce Whitehead win in Round 1?Polymarket50% YesOpen
Will the fight be won by submission?Polymarket52% NoOpen
Fight to Go the Distance?Polymarket52% NoOpen
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Polymarket50% NoOpen
UFC 332: Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead (Welterweight, Early Prelims)Polymarket88% Jacobe SmithOpen
Will Jacobe Smith win in Round 3?Polymarket50% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 1, 01:55 AM UTC