PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Eva Maria Ionescu (-1.5) vs Francesca Mattioli (+1.5)

Francesca Mattioli65%
Eva Maria Ionescu35%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$503.1
Spread4%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 01:50 AMSep 29, 09:42 AMSep 29, 05:34 PMSep 30, 01:27 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Maria Ionescu and Francesca Mattioli in the W15 Nashville, TN, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Eva Maria Ionescu" if Eva Maria Ionescu wins by 2 or more sets than Francesca Mattioli, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Francesca Mattioli." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Eva Maria Ionescu can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Francesca Mattioli." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W15 Nashville, TN, Main Draw: Completed Match: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca MattioliPolymarket54% YesOpen
W15 Nashville, TN: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca MattioliPolymarket53% Eva Maria IonescuOpen
Set 1 Winner: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca MattioliPolymarket51% Eva Maria IonescuOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Eva Maria Ionescu vs. Francesca Mattioli: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket63% Under 2.5Open
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket55% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca MattioliPolymarket50% Eva Maria IonescuOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Francesca Mattioli (-1.5) vs Eva Maria Ionescu (+1.5)Polymarket67% Eva Maria IonescuOpen

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As of Sep 30, 01:39 AM UTC