PolymarketOpen

Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Match O/U 22.5

Under51%
Over49%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$13.1
Spread90%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 8 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 01:50 AMSep 29, 09:59 AMSep 29, 06:08 PMSep 30, 02:17 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Maria Ionescu and Francesca Mattioli in the W15 Nashville, TN, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ITF statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W15 Nashville, TN, Main Draw: Completed Match: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca MattioliPolymarket54% YesOpen
W15 Nashville, TN: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca MattioliPolymarket53% Eva Maria IonescuOpen
Set 1 Winner: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca MattioliPolymarket51% Eva Maria IonescuOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Eva Maria Ionescu vs. Francesca Mattioli: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket64% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Eva Maria Ionescu (-1.5) vs Francesca Mattioli (+1.5)Polymarket66% Francesca MattioliOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket54% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca MattioliPolymarket50% Eva Maria IonescuOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Francesca Mattioli (-1.5) vs Eva Maria Ionescu (+1.5)Polymarket68% Eva Maria IonescuOpen

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As of Sep 30, 02:38 AM UTC