PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca Mattioli

Eva Maria Ionescu51%
Francesca Mattioli49%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.6K
Spread6%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29, 01:50 AMSep 29, 02:18 PMSep 30, 02:46 AMSep 30, 03:14 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Maria Ionescu and Francesca Mattioli in the W15 Nashville, TN, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Eva Maria Ionescu” if Eva Maria Ionescu wins the first set. It will resolve to “Francesca Mattioli” if Francesca Mattioli wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
W15 Nashville, TN, Main Draw: Completed Match: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca MattioliPolymarket50% YesOpen
W15 Nashville, TN: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca MattioliPolymarket52% Eva Maria IonescuOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Eva Maria Ionescu vs. Francesca Mattioli: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket64% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Eva Maria Ionescu (-1.5) vs Francesca Mattioli (+1.5)Polymarket66% Francesca MattioliOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket55% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Eva Maria Ionescu vs Francesca MattioliPolymarket50% Eva Maria IonescuOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Ionescu vs. Mattioli: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Francesca Mattioli (-1.5) vs Eva Maria Ionescu (+1.5)Polymarket68% Eva Maria IonescuOpen

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As of Sep 30, 04:07 PM UTC