PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Holger Rune (-0.5) vs Kyrian Jacquet (+0.5)

Kyrian Jacquet54%
Holger Rune47%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$3K
Spread47%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 11:50 AMSep 29, 02:26 AMSep 29, 05:02 PMSep 30, 07:38 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Holger Rune" if Holger Rune wins 0.5 or more total games than Kyrian Jacquet in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kyrian Jacquet". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Holger Rune could no longer have finished 0.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Kyrian Jacquet". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Holger Rune vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket52% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Holger Rune vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket58% Kyrian JacquetOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Holger Rune vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket57% Holger RuneOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket68% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Holger Rune (-1.5) vs Kyrian Jacquet (+1.5)Polymarket61% Kyrian JacquetOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Kyrian Jacquet (-1.5) vs Holger Rune (+1.5)Polymarket79% Holger RuneOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket79% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Holger Rune vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket63% Holger RuneOpen
Holger Rune vs. Kyrian Jacquet: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket59% Under 2.5Open

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As of Sep 30, 07:56 AM UTC