PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Kyrian Jacquet (-1.5) vs Holger Rune (+1.5)

Holger Rune79%
Kyrian Jacquet22%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$14K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 29, 12:00 AMSep 29, 01:09 PMSep 30, 02:18 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Holger Rune in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kyrian Jacquet" if Kyrian Jacquet wins by 2 or more sets than Holger Rune, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Holger Rune." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kyrian Jacquet can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Holger Rune." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Holger Rune vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Holger Rune vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket61% Kyrian JacquetOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 1 Winner: Holger Rune vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket57% Holger RuneOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket67% UnderOpen
Holger Rune vs. Kyrian Jacquet: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket60% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Holger Rune (-1.5) vs Kyrian Jacquet (+1.5)Polymarket61% Kyrian JacquetOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket78% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Game Spread: Holger Rune (-0.5) vs Kyrian Jacquet (+0.5)Polymarket51% Holger RuneOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Holger Rune vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket63% Holger RuneOpen

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As of Sep 30, 02:44 AM UTC