PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquet

Holger Rune57%
Kyrian Jacquet44%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$35.3K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 29, 12:17 AMSep 29, 01:43 PMSep 30, 03:10 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Holger Rune and Kyrian Jacquet in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Holger Rune” if Holger Rune wins the first set. It will resolve to “Kyrian Jacquet” if Kyrian Jacquet wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Holger Rune vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket54% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Holger Rune vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket61% Kyrian JacquetOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket68% UnderOpen
Holger Rune vs. Kyrian Jacquet: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket60% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Holger Rune (-1.5) vs Kyrian Jacquet (+1.5)Polymarket61% Kyrian JacquetOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Kyrian Jacquet (-1.5) vs Holger Rune (+1.5)Polymarket79% Holger RuneOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket78% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% OverOpen
Rune vs. Jacquet: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Game Spread: Holger Rune (-0.5) vs Kyrian Jacquet (+0.5)Polymarket51% Holger RuneOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Holger Rune vs Kyrian JacquetPolymarket63% Holger RuneOpen

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As of Sep 30, 03:19 AM UTC