PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Tommy Paul (-3.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+3.5)

Alejandro Tabilo53%
Tommy Paul48%

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24h volume$454.2
7d volume$454.2
30d volume$454.2
Liquidity$23.4K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 01:27 PMSep 29, 12:37 AMSep 29, 11:47 AMSep 29, 10:56 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Tommy Paul" if Tommy Paul wins 3.5 or more total games than Alejandro Tabilo in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Alejandro Tabilo". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Tommy Paul could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Alejandro Tabilo". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy PaulPolymarket53% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy PaulPolymarket65% Tommy PaulOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy PaulPolymarket65% Tommy PaulOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket82% OverOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket69% UnderOpen
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy PaulPolymarket71% Tommy PaulOpen
Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)Polymarket54% Alejandro TabiloOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket57% OverOpen

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As of Sep 29, 11:05 PM UTC