PolymarketOpen

Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5

Over57%
Under43%

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24h volume$28.2
7d volume$28.2
30d volume$28.2
Liquidity$1.8K
Spread10%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 28, 10:36 PMSep 29, 10:21 AMSep 29, 10:06 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Tommy Paul in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the first set has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before the first set is completed, or if the first set has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the set played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether the set is decided by a tiebreak. For example, for a line of 9.5, if play stops with the first set at 5-4, completing the set would have required at least 1 additional game, resulting in at least 10 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy PaulPolymarket53% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy PaulPolymarket65% Tommy PaulOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy PaulPolymarket65% Tommy PaulOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket82% OverOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket69% UnderOpen
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy PaulPolymarket71% Tommy PaulOpen
Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)Polymarket54% Alejandro TabiloOpen
Game Spread: Tommy Paul (-3.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+3.5)Polymarket53% Alejandro TabiloOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:16 PM UTC