PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul64%
Alejandro Tabilo36%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$23.3K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 29, 12:00 AMSep 29, 01:09 PMSep 30, 02:18 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Tommy Paul in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Alejandro Tabilo” if Alejandro Tabilo wins the first set. It will resolve to “Tommy Paul” if Tommy Paul wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy PaulPolymarket62% YesOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy PaulPolymarket65% Tommy PaulOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket59% OverOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket83% OverOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket68% UnderOpen
Alejandro Tabilo vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket61% Under 2.5Open
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy PaulPolymarket72% Tommy PaulOpen
Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+1.5)Polymarket54% Alejandro TabiloOpen
Game Spread: Tommy Paul (-3.5) vs Alejandro Tabilo (+3.5)Polymarket53% Alejandro TabiloOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Tabilo vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket58% OverOpen

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As of Sep 30, 02:39 AM UTC