PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Frances Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Kei Nishikori (+1.5)

Frances Tiafoe56%
Kei Nishikori45%

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24h volume$236.1
7d volume$236.1
30d volume$236.1
Liquidity$32.9K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 28, 11:43 PMSep 29, 12:35 PMSep 30, 01:28 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Kei Nishikori in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Frances Tiafoe" if Frances Tiafoe wins by 2 or more sets than Kei Nishikori, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Kei Nishikori." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Frances Tiafoe can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Kei Nishikori." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Kei Nishikori vs Frances TiafoePolymarket52% YesOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Kei Nishikori vs Frances TiafoePolymarket73% Frances TiafoeOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kei Nishikori vs Frances TiafoePolymarket80% Frances TiafoeOpen
Game Spread: Frances Tiafoe (-4.5) vs Kei Nishikori (+4.5)Polymarket54% Kei NishikoriOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Kei Nishikori vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket68% Under 2.5Open
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Kei Nishikori vs Frances TiafoePolymarket72% Frances TiafoeOpen

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As of Sep 30, 01:52 AM UTC