PolymarketOpen

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe80%
Kei Nishikori21%

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24h volume$13.9K
7d volume$14K
30d volume$14K
Liquidity$111.1K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:11 AMSep 28, 10:43 PMSep 29, 11:14 AMSep 29, 11:46 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kei Nishikori and Frances Tiafoe in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kei Nishikori' if Kei Nishikori advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Kei Nishikori. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Kei Nishikori vs Frances TiafoePolymarket52% YesOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Kei Nishikori vs Frances TiafoePolymarket73% Frances TiafoeOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Game Spread: Frances Tiafoe (-4.5) vs Kei Nishikori (+4.5)Polymarket54% Kei NishikoriOpen
Set Handicap: Frances Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Kei Nishikori (+1.5)Polymarket56% Frances TiafoeOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket53% OverOpen
Kei Nishikori vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket68% Under 2.5Open
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Kei Nishikori vs Frances TiafoePolymarket72% Frances TiafoeOpen

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As of Sep 29, 11:51 PM UTC