PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe72%
Kei Nishikori29%

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24h volume$6.5
7d volume$6.5
30d volume$6.5
Liquidity$19.4K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 29, 01:46 AMSep 29, 04:41 PMSep 30, 07:36 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kei Nishikori and Frances Tiafoe in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Kei Nishikori” if Kei Nishikori wins the first set. It will resolve to “Frances Tiafoe” if Frances Tiafoe wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Kei Nishikori vs Frances TiafoePolymarket52% YesOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Kei Nishikori vs Frances TiafoePolymarket73% Frances TiafoeOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket70% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kei Nishikori vs Frances TiafoePolymarket80% Frances TiafoeOpen
Game Spread: Frances Tiafoe (-4.5) vs Kei Nishikori (+4.5)Polymarket55% Kei NishikoriOpen
Set Handicap: Frances Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Kei Nishikori (+1.5)Polymarket56% Frances TiafoeOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket52% OverOpen
Kei Nishikori vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket67% Under 2.5Open
Nishikori vs. Tiafoe: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket59% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 07:36 AM UTC