PolymarketOpen

Set Handicap: Casper Ruud (-1.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+1.5)

Luciano Darderi57%
Casper Ruud44%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$24K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 28, 11:10 PMSep 29, 11:29 AMSep 29, 11:47 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Luciano Darderi in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Casper Ruud" if Casper Ruud wins by 2 or more sets than Luciano Darderi, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Luciano Darderi." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Casper Ruud can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Luciano Darderi." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Luciano Darderi vs Casper RuudPolymarket52% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Casper RuudPolymarket63% Casper RuudOpen
Game Spread: Casper Ruud (-3.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+3.5)Polymarket55% Luciano DarderiOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket63% OverOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Casper RuudPolymarket63% Casper RuudOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Luciano Darderi vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper RuudPolymarket68% Casper RuudOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 12:11 AM UTC