PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Casper Ruud (-3.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+3.5)

Luciano Darderi55%
Casper Ruud46%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$11K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 28, 11:10 PMSep 29, 11:29 AMSep 29, 11:47 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Casper Ruud" if Casper Ruud wins 3.5 or more total games than Luciano Darderi in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Luciano Darderi". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Casper Ruud could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Luciano Darderi". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Luciano Darderi vs Casper RuudPolymarket52% YesOpen
Set 1 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Casper RuudPolymarket63% Casper RuudOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket63% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Casper Ruud (-1.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+1.5)Polymarket57% Luciano DarderiOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Casper RuudPolymarket63% Casper RuudOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Luciano Darderi vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper RuudPolymarket68% Casper RuudOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 12:11 AM UTC