PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud63%
Luciano Darderi38%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$30.2K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:51 AMSep 28, 11:10 PMSep 29, 11:29 AMSep 29, 11:47 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Luciano Darderi and Casper Ruud in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Luciano Darderi” if Luciano Darderi wins the first set. It will resolve to “Casper Ruud” if Casper Ruud wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Completed Match: Luciano Darderi vs Casper RuudPolymarket52% YesOpen
Game Spread: Casper Ruud (-3.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+3.5)Polymarket55% Luciano DarderiOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket63% OverOpen
Set Handicap: Casper Ruud (-1.5) vs Luciano Darderi (+1.5)Polymarket57% Luciano DarderiOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket52% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Luciano Darderi vs Casper RuudPolymarket63% Casper RuudOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Luciano Darderi vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket62% Under 2.5Open
Darderi vs. Ruud: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% OverOpen
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Casper RuudPolymarket68% Casper RuudOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Darderi vs. Ruud: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket57% UnderOpen

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As of Sep 30, 12:11 AM UTC