PolymarketOpen

Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone

Mariano Navone60%

Alex de Minaur41%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:06 PM UTC

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24h volume—

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$1K

Spread71%

ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Mariano Navone in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Alex de Minaur” if Alex de Minaur wins set 2. It will resolve to “Mariano Navone” if Mariano Navone wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
China Open: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone	Polymarket	52% Yes	—	—	—	Open
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5	Polymarket	55% Under	—	—	—	Open
Minaur vs. Navone: Match O/U 21.5	Polymarket	56% Under	—	—	—	Open
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Minaur vs. Navone: Match O/U 23.5	Polymarket	63% Under	—	—	—	Open
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Minaur vs. Navone: Match O/U 22.5	Polymarket	61% Under	—	—	—	Open
Alex de Minaur vs. Mariano Navone: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Polymarket	67% Under 2.5	—	—	—	Open
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5	Polymarket	51% Under	—	—	—	Open
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Polymarket	65% Under	—	—	—	Open
Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone	Polymarket	73% Alex de Minaur	—	—	—	Open
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5	Polymarket	76% Under	—	—	—	Open
Set Handicap: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Mariano Navone (+1.5)	Polymarket	58% Alex de Minaur	—	—	—	Open
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone	Polymarket	80% Alex de Minaur	$11.6K	—	—	Open
Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-5.5) vs Mariano Navone (+5.5)	Polymarket	59% Mariano Navone	$2.3	—	—	Open

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As of Sep 29, 10:24 PM UTC