PolymarketOpen

China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano Navone

Alex de Minaur80%
Mariano Navone21%

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24h volume$11K
7d volume$11K
30d volume$11K
Liquidity$37K
Spread1%
ResolvesOct 7, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 28, 10:11 AMSep 28, 09:49 PMSep 29, 09:26 AMSep 29, 09:03 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Mariano Navone in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
China Open: Completed Match: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano NavonePolymarket52% YesOpen
Set 2 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano NavonePolymarket59% Mariano NavoneOpen
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket55% UnderOpen
Minaur vs. Navone: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket56% UnderOpen
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Minaur vs. Navone: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket58% UnderOpen
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Minaur vs. Navone: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket60% UnderOpen
Alex de Minaur vs. Mariano Navone: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket67% Under 2.5Open
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket65% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Alex de Minaur vs Mariano NavonePolymarket73% Alex de MinaurOpen
Minaur vs. Navone: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket75% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Alex de Minaur (-1.5) vs Mariano Navone (+1.5)Polymarket58% Alex de MinaurOpen
Game Spread: Alex de Minaur (-5.5) vs Mariano Navone (+5.5)Polymarket59% Mariano NavoneOpen

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As of Sep 29, 09:30 PM UTC