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Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Yoaz Hendel become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

No99%
Yoaz Hendel1%

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24h volume$0
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Spread1%
ResolvesOct 27, 2027next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 29

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Yoaz Hendel becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi71% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Gadi Eizenkot become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi59% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Naftali Bennett become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi85% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Yuli Edelstein become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Yair Lapid become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Israel Katz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Yossi Cohen become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Moshe Feiglin become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Itamar Ben Gvir become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi95% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Gideon Sa'ar become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi99% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Benny Gantz become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi96% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Avigdor Lieberman become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi98% NoOpen
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?: Will Ayelet Shaked become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Kalshi99% NoOpen

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As of Sep 29, 10:31 PM UTC