KalshiOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

UEFA Nations League Champion: Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?

No52%

Portugal48%

Price checked at Sep 29, 10:33 PM UTC

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24h volume$6

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread27%

ResolvesJun 14, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Portugal is the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

2 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves around June 14, 2027 UTC and specifies elimination, cancellation, and no-winner handling; Kalshi resolves later on June 14 and only states the Yes condition. These are resolution-rule and timing differences, not a different event.

PolymarketOpen →
Will Portugal win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League per the rules of UEFA (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after June 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kalshithis market
UEFA Nations League Champion: Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?
If Portugal is the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Sep 29, 10:38 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
UEFA Nations League Champion: Will Greece win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	94% No	$516	—	—	Open
UEFA Nations League Champion: Will Spain win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	57% Spain	$440.9	—	—	Open
UEFA Nations League Champion: Will France win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	57% France	$85.1	—	—	Open
UEFA Nations League Champion: Will England win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	84% No	$22.9	—	—	Open
UEFA Nations League Champion: Will Croatia win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	94% No	$2	—	—	Open
UEFA Nations League Champion: Will Germany win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	50% No	$0	—	—	Open
UEFA Nations League Champion: Will Italy win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	94% No	$0	—	—	Open
UEFA Nations League Champion: Will Norway win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	66% Norway	$0	—	—	Open
UEFA Nations League Champion: Will Netherlands win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	63% Netherlands	$0	—	—	Open
UEFA Nations League Champion: Will Belgium win the UEFA Nations League?	Kalshi	98% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 19 minutes ago

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As of Sep 29, 10:57 PM UTC