KalshiOpen

When will Bitcoin cross $130k?: Will Bitcoin be above $130,000 by May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET?

No79%
By May 13, 202721%

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24h volume$525.6
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread9%
ResolvesJul 8, 2027in 9 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Sep 23Sep 25Sep 26Sep 28Sep 29Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $130000 starting Sep 22, 2026 and before May 13, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

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As of Sep 29, 10:54 PM UTC