Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

No91%
Yes9%

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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and Limitless display settlement times shortly after the stated deadline; Opinion and PredictFun do not provide a settlement timestamp. The published resolution criteria and sources otherwise differ in no material way.
  • OpinionOpen →

    Will Base launch a token by ... — December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Base officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    read Sep 29, 08:10 PM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    963 holders · 181 comments · read Sep 27, 06:20 PM UTC

  • PredictFunthis market

    Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    read Sep 29, 08:23 PM UTC

  • LimitlessOpen →

    Will Base launch a token by __: December 31, 2026

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

    9 holders · read Sep 29, 07:51 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 08:25 PM UTC