OpinionOpenPart of a cross-venue question →

Will Base launch a token by ... — December 31, 2026

No65%

Yes14%

Price checked at Sep 29, 06:37 PM UTC

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24h volume$5

7d volume$5

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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Base officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The same question elsewhere

4 venues carry it

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Comparable, not identical. Polymarket and Limitless display settlement times shortly after the stated deadline; Opinion and PredictFun do not provide a settlement timestamp. The published resolution criteria and sources otherwise differ in no material way.

Opinionthis market
Will Base launch a token by ... — December 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Base officially launches a token on or before the specified deadline at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
read Sep 29, 07:22 PM UTC
PolymarketOpen →
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
963 holders · 181 comments · read Sep 27, 06:20 PM UTC
PredictFunOpen →
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
read Sep 29, 02:03 PM UTC
LimitlessOpen →
Will Base launch a token by __: December 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
9 holders · read Sep 29, 03:23 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Base launch a token by ... — September 30, 2026	Opinion	47% No	$2.4	—	—	Open

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Best bid 86% · best ask 100%

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As of Sep 29, 07:24 PM UTC