Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

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Resolution rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. The venues have different displayed settlement times, and PredictFun/Polymarket specify fallback rules if the official list is unavailable while Kalshi’s published text does not. These are resolution-mechanics differences, not differences in the underlying question.
  • PolymarketOpen →

    Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    64 holders · 103 comments · read Sep 28, 04:58 PM UTC

  • KalshiOpen →

    2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?: Will Raphaël Glucksmann appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

    If Raphaël Glucksmann is officially certified, approved, or confirmed to appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election before Jun 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    read Sep 29, 06:48 PM UTC

  • PredictFunthis market

    Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

    The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    read Sep 29, 06:04 PM UTC

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As of Sep 29, 07:23 PM UTC