Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

This market predicts which film will have the highest domestic box office gross in the 2026 calendar year. ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** Once final 2026 calendar-year gross data is published, expected shortly after January 1, 2027. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to "Yes" for the film with the highest domestic gross in the 2026 calendar year according to the "Gross" column on Box Office Mojo's 2026 calendar grosses chart, provided it is listed as an outcome in this market. - Resolves to "No" for all other films. - Only domestic grosses earned during the 2026 calendar year count toward a film's total; grosses earned outside of 2026 will not be considered. - In the event of an exact tie, the film whose title comes first alphabetically will be declared the winner. ### **Resolution Details:** - This market will only be resolved through official data posted at [https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses](https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses). - If final data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. If the market is cancelled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

Sourcehttps://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses

• Myriadthis market

  Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

  This market predicts which film will have the highest domestic box office gross in the 2026 calendar year. ### **Market Dates:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date through December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** Once final 2026 calendar-year gross data is published, expected shortly after January 1, 2027. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Resolves to "Yes" for the film with the highest domestic gross in the 2026 calendar year according to the "Gross" column on Box Office Mojo's 2026 calendar grosses chart, provided it is listed as an outcome in this market. - Resolves to "No" for all other films. - Only domestic grosses earned during the 2026 calendar year count toward a film's total; grosses earned outside of 2026 will not be considered. - In the event of an exact tie, the film whose title comes first alphabetically will be declared the winner. ### **Resolution Details:** - This market will only be resolved through official data posted at [https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses](https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses). - If final data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The resolution source is compromised or unavailable for prolonged periods. - Any circumstance makes it impossible to determine the outcome definitively. If the market is cancelled, participants may claim their stakes at the market value of their open positions at the time of cancellation. This could result in a profit or a loss, depending on the price of their outstanding shares.

  read Sep 29, 09:50 PM UTC

• PolymarketOpen →

  Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?

  This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.